Scouting Report
Travis Boyd holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Boyd wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyd 43.9% vs Zegras 42.6% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Zegras leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Zegras 77.2%
Defensive zone
Zegras 50.8%
Neutral zone
Zegras 61.2%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Boyd
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Boyd
Zegras
Last 10: Boyd 4-6 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
3
Boyd
Zegras
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
2
Boyd
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Boyd
Zegras
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyd
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (893)
41.1% (559)
+2.3%
Power Play
51.5% (136)
50.0% (12)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (127)
50.0% (2)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Boyd is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Boyd shoots right. Zegras is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Boyd
Zegras
Home
46.0% (570)
45.7% (247)
Away
41.0% (586)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Boyd
Zegras
P1
38.9%
45.5%
P2
50.4%
36.8%
P3
41.1%
41.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 12:01 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 18:26 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 15:53 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 11:41 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:35 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 01:22 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |