Scouting Report
Travis Boyd holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Boyd wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyd 44.1% vs Zegras 39.2% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Zegras leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Zegras 85.8%
Defensive zone
Boyd 58.6%
Neutral zone
Zegras 65.0%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Boyd
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Boyd
Zegras
Last 10: Boyd 4-6 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
4
Boyd
Zegras
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
3
2
Boyd
Zegras
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
2
3
Boyd
Zegras
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyd
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (2,186)
38.6% (1,669)
+5.8%
Power Play
46.5% (256)
38.5% (148)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (208)
28.6% (7)
+7.0%
On power play, Boyd has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Boyd is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,838).
Boyd shoots right. Zegras is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Boyd
Zegras
Home
46.3% (1,327)
39.9% (882)
Away
41.5% (1,324)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Boyd
Zegras
P1
41.7%
40.2%
P2
46.2%
38.0%
P3
44.0%
37.7%
OT
22.2%
31.6%
Final 5 min
44.0%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 12:01 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 18:26 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 15:53 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 11:41 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:35 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 01:22 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:40 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:31 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 15:12 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |