Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Frederic 46.5% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frederic 61.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 51.1%
Neutral zone
Frederic 65.2%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Staal
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Staal
Frederic
Last 6: Staal 2-4 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
2
Staal
Frederic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
Staal
Frederic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Frederic
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
45.8% (262)
+13.1%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
57.1% (7)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
36.4% (22)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Frederic is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Staal
Frederic
Home
57.0% (646)
44.1% (152)
Away
59.1% (729)
46.8% (139)
By Period
Staal
Frederic
P1
55.9%
41.7%
P2
55.4%
48.9%
P3
62.0%
45.6%
OT
70.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Trent Frederic |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:04 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Trent Frederic |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |