Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Zegras 42.6% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 72.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 98.0%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 95.0%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 87.9%
87.9%
12.1%
Cizikas
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Cizikas
Zegras
Last 6: Cizikas 5-1 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Zegras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (757)
41.1% (559)
+15.3%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
50.0% (12)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (165)
50.0% (2)
-9.4%
On even strength, Cizikas has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Cizikas shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Zegras
Home
55.0% (473)
45.7% (247)
Away
51.7% (466)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Cizikas
Zegras
P1
54.9%
45.5%
P2
50.8%
36.8%
P3
54.5%
41.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 02:03 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |