Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Stepan wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.2% vs Bozak 52.4% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 17-8 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 83.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 86.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 82.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 84.5%
84.5%
15.5%
Stepan
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
17
(25 meetings)
8
17
Stepan
Bozak
Last 10: Stepan 3-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
6
3
Stepan
Bozak
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
11
Stepan
Bozak
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
3
Stepan
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (750)
52.8% (697)
-4.8%
Power Play
36.3% (113)
50.9% (171)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (113)
53.3% (195)
-11.7%
On power play, Bozak has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Stepan is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Stepan shoots right. Bozak is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Stepan
Bozak
Home
47.4% (460)
52.1% (530)
Away
44.5% (517)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Stepan
Bozak
P1
50.3%
54.1%
P2
38.4%
50.6%
P3
49.4%
53.4%
OT
27.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 11:31 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 10:55 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 14:41 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 14:57 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |