Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 55.0%). Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 54.0% vs Bozak 54.3% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 58.0%
Defensive zone
Bozak 51.5%
Neutral zone
Brassard 50.1%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Brassard
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Brassard
Bozak
Last 6: Brassard 3-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
1
Brassard
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Brassard
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (334)
57.3% (483)
-1.9%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
57.5% (73)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
42.3% (104)
+32.7%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Brassard is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Brassard shoots left. Bozak is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Brassard
Bozak
Home
52.3% (174)
57.8% (332)
Away
57.9% (183)
52.1% (328)
By Period
Brassard
Bozak
P1
47.1%
52.7%
P2
60.6%
55.6%
P3
57.4%
56.7%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
55.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 06:49 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 01:19 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |