Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.0% vs Bozak 52.4% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 50.1%
Defensive zone
Beagle 79.6%
Neutral zone
Beagle 58.8%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Beagle
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Beagle
Bozak
Last 7: Beagle 5-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Beagle
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
0
Beagle
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (318)
52.8% (697)
+2.9%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
50.9% (171)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (115)
53.3% (195)
+5.0%
On power play, Bozak has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Beagle is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (131).
Beagle shoots right. Bozak is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Beagle
Bozak
Home
58.0% (226)
52.1% (530)
Away
54.1% (218)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Beagle
Bozak
P1
54.7%
54.1%
P2
57.7%
50.6%
P3
56.1%
53.4%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 11:22 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |