Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Schmaltz wins 36.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 40.4% vs Bozak 53.9% (-17.3%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 58.3%
Defensive zone
Bozak 79.0%
Neutral zone
Bozak 52.4%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Schmaltz
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Schmaltz
Bozak
Last 10: Schmaltz 5-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
3
1
Schmaltz
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Schmaltz
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Schmaltz
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
37.6% (237)
55.4% (719)
-17.8%
Power Play
32.5% (40)
45.1% (51)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
50.0% (60)
+0.0%
On even strength, Bozak has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Schmaltz is 36.4% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Schmaltz shoots right. Bozak is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (263).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Bozak
Home
42.6% (129)
55.5% (443)
Away
32.2% (152)
53.0% (387)
By Period
Schmaltz
Bozak
P1
38.8%
53.3%
P2
29.4%
54.7%
P3
42.2%
55.4%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
36.4%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
37.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 05:04 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 01:44 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 18:30 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |