Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Steel wins 43.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 49.4% vs Bozak 53.9% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 59.0%
Defensive zone
Steel 54.7%
Neutral zone
Steel 61.2%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Steel
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Steel
Bozak
Last 8: Steel 3-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
3
1
Steel
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Steel
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Steel
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (204)
55.4% (719)
-5.9%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
45.1% (51)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
50.0% (60)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Steel is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (78).
Steel shoots left. Bozak is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Steel
Bozak
Home
53.2% (77)
55.5% (443)
Away
46.9% (143)
53.0% (387)
By Period
Steel
Bozak
P1
45.5%
53.3%
P2
49.4%
54.7%
P3
52.5%
55.4%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2019 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 2 | 02:19 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 14, 2018 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |