Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.4% vs 55.6%). Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bozak wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 55.8% vs Seguin 55.0% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 62.2%
Defensive zone
Bozak 54.4%
Neutral zone
Bozak 53.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Bozak
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Bozak
Seguin
Last 6: Bozak 4-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Bozak
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
0
Bozak
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
0
Bozak
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (837)
55.9% (789)
+0.5%
Power Play
60.8% (186)
52.1% (48)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (36)
44.4% (9)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Bozak is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Bozak shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Bozak
Seguin
Home
58.7% (516)
57.3% (382)
Away
54.1% (543)
54.1% (464)
By Period
Bozak
Seguin
P1
55.7%
55.1%
P2
53.4%
57.5%
P3
59.7%
53.7%
OT
63.2%
61.1%
Final 5 min
53.4%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 13:49 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 13:43 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 02:58 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 3 | 00:18 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |