Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 46.2% vs Seguin 55.4% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 73.5%
Defensive zone
Seguin 57.0%
Neutral zone
Seguin 64.0%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Bozak
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Bozak
Seguin
Last 9: Bozak 5-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bozak
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
1
Bozak
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Bozak
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (338)
56.5% (712)
-9.8%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
59.7% (67)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
44.9% (49)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Bozak is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Bozak shoots right. Seguin is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Bozak
Seguin
Home
47.9% (194)
58.5% (402)
Away
42.5% (193)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Bozak
Seguin
P1
40.2%
58.4%
P2
51.4%
54.7%
P3
43.1%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
43.9%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |