Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 53.6%). Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 17 meetings). Bozak wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 53.4% vs Seguin 53.6% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 26-22 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 54.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 53.2%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.6%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Bozak
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
22
(48 meetings)
26
22
Bozak
Seguin
Last 10: Bozak 6-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
10
7
Bozak
Seguin
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
8
5
Bozak
Seguin
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
8
10
Bozak
Seguin
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (9,596)
53.7% (8,071)
+0.0%
Power Play
55.2% (1,990)
55.9% (810)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (1,094)
49.3% (762)
-1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Bozak shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Bozak
Seguin
Home
56.0% (6,333)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
51.0% (6,396)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Bozak
Seguin
P1
53.2%
52.8%
P2
52.8%
53.3%
P3
54.5%
54.7%
OT
52.9%
54.7%
Final 5 min
53.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 07:28 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 04:18 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 02:16 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 3 | 18:43 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |