Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bozak wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 53.3% vs Rask 54.3% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 77.4%
Defensive zone
Rask 63.9%
Neutral zone
Rask 74.9%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 73.3%
26.7%
73.3%
Bozak
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Bozak
Rask
Last 9: Bozak 7-2 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
1
Bozak
Rask
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
0
Bozak
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
1
Bozak
Rask
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (977)
54.5% (628)
-0.9%
Power Play
52.2% (186)
58.0% (88)
-5.8%
On power play, Rask has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Bozak is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (812).
Bozak shoots right. Rask is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Bozak
Rask
Home
55.4% (583)
58.0% (355)
Away
51.9% (586)
51.8% (361)
By Period
Bozak
Rask
P1
51.9%
54.5%
P2
51.1%
56.3%
P3
57.9%
54.2%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.6%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 15:24 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 15:49 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 02:53 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 01:09 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |