Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Bozak wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bozak 46.2% vs Rask 50.4% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 63.3%
Defensive zone
Bozak 70.7%
Neutral zone
Bozak 66.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Bozak
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Bozak
Rask
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
1
Bozak
Rask
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bozak
Rask
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bozak
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (338)
50.6% (172)
-3.9%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
On even strength, Rask has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Bozak shoots right. Rask is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Bozak
Rask
Home
47.9% (194)
53.7% (82)
Away
42.5% (193)
47.9% (94)
By Period
Bozak
Rask
P1
40.2%
56.0%
P2
51.4%
47.5%
P3
43.1%
49.3%
Final 5 min
43.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 17:58 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 14:54 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | Victor Rask |