Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Henrique wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs Johnson 51.8% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 59.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 60.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 60.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Henrique
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Henrique
Johnson
Last 10: Henrique 2-8 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Henrique
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
4
Henrique
Johnson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
6
Henrique
Johnson
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (917)
51.2% (825)
-3.5%
Power Play
54.4% (149)
56.9% (160)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (148)
51.1% (137)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Henrique is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (444).
Henrique shoots left. Johnson is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Home / Away
Henrique
Johnson
Home
49.9% (567)
56.9% (583)
Away
46.7% (647)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Henrique
Johnson
P1
49.7%
55.1%
P2
45.3%
53.0%
P3
50.6%
48.8%
OT
31.8%
28.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 12:47 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 03:40 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 01:59 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 00:39 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 13:13 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |