Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Johnson 48.9% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 80.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 88.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 80.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Horvat
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Horvat
Johnson
Last 8: Horvat 7-1 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,606)
49.4% (399)
+4.6%
Power Play
52.9% (308)
52.9% (34)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (104)
37.5% (40)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (723).
Horvat shoots left. Johnson is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Horvat
Johnson
Home
57.2% (987)
49.8% (229)
Away
50.2% (1,031)
47.5% (244)
By Period
Horvat
Johnson
P1
53.9%
45.0%
P2
53.7%
49.1%
P3
53.6%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2018 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 03:04 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 17:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 00:41 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |