Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 48.7%). Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 49.5% vs Johnson 48.8% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 60.4%
Defensive zone
Jenner 58.8%
Neutral zone
Jenner 62.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Jenner
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Jenner
Johnson
Last 10: Jenner 6-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
2
Jenner
Johnson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
5
4
Jenner
Johnson
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (234)
49.5% (828)
-0.4%
Power Play
51.2% (43)
54.9% (142)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
36.8% (133)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Jenner is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Jenner shoots left. Johnson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (728).
Home / Away
Jenner
Johnson
Home
55.8% (138)
50.7% (564)
Away
44.0% (168)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Jenner
Johnson
P1
53.8%
51.2%
P2
47.2%
47.5%
P3
48.0%
48.4%
OT
44.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.3%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 16:26 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 09:36 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 14:36 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 12:25 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 02:25 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 05:17 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 05:10 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 15:12 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |