Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 51.1% vs Johnson 49.2% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 80.4%
Defensive zone
Johnson 52.8%
Neutral zone
Johnson 68.8%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Tierney
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Tierney
Johnson
Last 5: Tierney 1-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Tierney
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Tierney
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (767)
47.2% (286)
+4.0%
Power Play
50.7% (73)
61.8% (55)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (178)
33.3% (12)
+17.8%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Tierney is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Tierney shoots left. Johnson is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (263).
Home / Away
Tierney
Johnson
Home
48.6% (552)
55.0% (151)
Away
54.3% (466)
44.6% (202)
By Period
Tierney
Johnson
P1
51.3%
42.3%
P2
46.5%
56.2%
P3
55.3%
47.3%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 11:05 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 17:01 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |