Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.7% vs Johnson 50.1% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 59.9%
Defensive zone
Johnson 60.8%
Neutral zone
Johnson 62.5%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Grant
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Grant
Johnson
Last 10: Grant 3-7 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
3
5
Grant
Johnson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Grant
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Grant
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (511)
51.8% (548)
+1.6%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
51.7% (58)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
40.7% (113)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Grant has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Grant is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Grant shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Grant
Johnson
Home
56.1% (344)
53.6% (371)
Away
49.0% (253)
46.3% (348)
By Period
Grant
Johnson
P1
49.4%
50.9%
P2
56.1%
50.2%
P3
54.0%
48.9%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
53.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2017 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 3 | 04:04 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 1 | 10:17 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 1 | 02:15 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | Derek Grant |