Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Staal wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 52.5% vs Johnson 48.3% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 92.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 57.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 63.8%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Staal
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Staal
Johnson
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
9
1
Staal
Johnson
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
4
Staal
Johnson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (1,126)
48.7% (941)
+3.3%
Power Play
56.5% (239)
49.6% (133)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (65)
44.8% (201)
+6.0%
On power play, Staal has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Staal is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (516).
Staal shoots left. Johnson is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (862).
Home / Away
Staal
Johnson
Home
56.7% (727)
50.5% (588)
Away
48.6% (703)
46.1% (687)
By Period
Staal
Johnson
P1
50.9%
49.4%
P2
54.7%
47.3%
P3
51.9%
48.1%
OT
60.9%
42.1%
Final 5 min
54.5%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2014 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 3 | 18:12 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 3 | 14:22 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 3 | 09:54 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 1 | 19:17 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 1 | 17:04 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 03:22 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 1 | 11:42 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |