Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 49.2% vs Johnson 45.7% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 65.1%
Defensive zone
Veleno 81.2%
Neutral zone
Veleno 76.9%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Veleno
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Veleno
Johnson
Last 5: Veleno 4-1 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Veleno
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
0
Veleno
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
0
Veleno
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (531)
44.6% (285)
+3.8%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
46.7% (60)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
16.7% (6)
+27.7%
On penalty kill, Veleno has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Veleno is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Veleno shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Veleno
Johnson
Home
48.8% (289)
50.8% (179)
Away
49.2% (333)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Veleno
Johnson
P1
46.1%
41.3%
P2
50.9%
41.8%
P3
49.7%
49.6%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 08:42 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 02:29 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |