Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.7%). Look for Couture on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.3% vs Johnson 48.8% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Couture leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 66.7%
Defensive zone
Couture 55.2%
Neutral zone
Johnson 51.5%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Couture
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Couture
Johnson
Last 10: Couture 7-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
0
Couture
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
6
3
Couture
Johnson
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (879)
49.5% (828)
-0.2%
Power Play
61.3% (31)
54.9% (142)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (80)
36.8% (133)
-5.5%
On power play, Couture has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Couture is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Couture shoots left. Johnson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (728).
Home / Away
Couture
Johnson
Home
51.4% (521)
50.7% (564)
Away
44.6% (469)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Couture
Johnson
P1
44.0%
51.2%
P2
48.3%
47.5%
P3
53.1%
48.4%
OT
28.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.4%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2015 | 3 | 16:19 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 11:36 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 19:44 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 18:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 12:59 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |