Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Scheifele wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 44.6% vs Johnson 48.7% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 63.9%
Defensive zone
Johnson 52.5%
Neutral zone
Johnson 67.0%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Scheifele
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Scheifele
Johnson
Last 7: Scheifele 5-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
0
Scheifele
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Scheifele
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (943)
48.5% (776)
-4.0%
Power Play
42.2% (180)
56.7% (157)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (43)
26.4% (53)
+17.8%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Scheifele is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Scheifele shoots right. Johnson is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Johnson
Home
47.4% (549)
48.8% (482)
Away
41.3% (617)
48.4% (504)
By Period
Scheifele
Johnson
P1
43.7%
50.3%
P2
44.5%
48.5%
P3
43.8%
47.0%
OT
56.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
42.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
44.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 23, 2015 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 23, 2015 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 23, 2015 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 23, 2015 | 2 | 00:16 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |