Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Scheifele wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 43.9% vs Johnson 51.8% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 69.8%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 80.4%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 70.4%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Scheifele
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Scheifele
Johnson
Last 8: Scheifele 1-7 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Scheifele
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Scheifele
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
4
Scheifele
Johnson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (1,136)
51.2% (825)
-7.3%
Power Play
43.0% (237)
56.9% (160)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (88)
51.1% (137)
-12.5%
On power play, Johnson has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Scheifele is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Scheifele shoots right. Johnson is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Johnson
Home
45.3% (739)
56.9% (583)
Away
41.6% (722)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Scheifele
Johnson
P1
45.6%
55.1%
P2
42.6%
53.0%
P3
42.8%
48.8%
OT
26.7%
28.6%
Final 5 min
39.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
43.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 17:29 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 17:45 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 03:43 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 00:33 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |