Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 49.7% vs Seguin 53.6% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 58.6%
Defensive zone
Seguin 75.4%
Neutral zone
Seguin 67.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Johnson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
9
(21 meetings)
12
9
Johnson
Seguin
Last 10: Johnson 9-1 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Johnson
Seguin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
6
4
Johnson
Seguin
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
3
2
Johnson
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (5,396)
53.7% (8,071)
-3.9%
Power Play
54.6% (885)
55.9% (810)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (707)
49.3% (762)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Johnson is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,203).
Johnson shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Johnson
Seguin
Home
52.5% (3,460)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
46.8% (3,528)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Johnson
Seguin
P1
50.1%
52.8%
P2
50.6%
53.3%
P3
48.4%
54.7%
OT
42.5%
54.7%
Final 5 min
49.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | OT | 02:27 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:51 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 18:39 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 07:14 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 03:46 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 2 | 03:50 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |