Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 45.7% vs Seguin 55.4% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 56.8%
Defensive zone
Seguin 84.2%
Neutral zone
Seguin 83.5%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 84.2%
15.8%
84.2%
Johnson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Johnson
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
0
Johnson
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (285)
56.9% (478)
-12.3%
Power Play
46.7% (60)
57.4% (54)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
51.3% (76)
-34.6%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Johnson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (78).
Johnson shoots right. Seguin is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Johnson
Seguin
Home
50.8% (179)
57.4% (317)
Away
37.8% (172)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Johnson
Seguin
P1
41.3%
50.3%
P2
41.8%
60.4%
P3
49.6%
58.0%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
43.4%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | OT | 02:27 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |