Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Johnson wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 50.7% vs Seguin 54.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 53.8%
Defensive zone
Seguin 81.0%
Neutral zone
Seguin 59.7%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Johnson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Johnson
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
0
Johnson
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (78)
55.0% (713)
-7.6%
Power Play
57.6% (33)
56.7% (104)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
47.2% (53)
+52.8%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Johnson is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Johnson shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Johnson
Seguin
Home
50.9% (57)
56.2% (443)
Away
51.8% (56)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Johnson
Seguin
P1
44.1%
54.2%
P2
59.4%
52.9%
P3
52.3%
57.1%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:51 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |