Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 51.8% vs Seguin 50.9% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 54.1%
Defensive zone
Seguin 58.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 58.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Johnson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Johnson
Seguin
Last 7: Johnson 2-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Johnson
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Johnson
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Johnson
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (825)
51.1% (720)
+0.1%
Power Play
56.9% (160)
54.2% (59)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (137)
14.3% (7)
+36.8%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Johnson is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Johnson shoots right. Seguin is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Johnson
Seguin
Home
56.9% (583)
52.0% (421)
Away
46.6% (539)
49.9% (365)
By Period
Johnson
Seguin
P1
55.1%
50.8%
P2
53.0%
51.3%
P3
48.8%
51.0%
OT
28.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 03:46 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |