Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 50.1% vs Seguin 54.5% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 60.8%
Defensive zone
Seguin 75.7%
Neutral zone
Seguin 70.4%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Johnson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Johnson
Seguin
Last 6: Johnson 4-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
0
Johnson
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Johnson
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
1
Johnson
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (548)
55.1% (1,036)
-3.3%
Power Play
51.7% (58)
56.9% (174)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (113)
52.2% (230)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Johnson is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (217).
Johnson shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Johnson
Seguin
Home
53.6% (371)
58.9% (703)
Away
46.3% (348)
51.0% (737)
By Period
Johnson
Seguin
P1
50.9%
54.5%
P2
50.2%
53.7%
P3
48.9%
57.0%
OT
55.6%
45.8%
Final 5 min
49.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 07:14 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |