Scouting Report
Tyler Motte holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Motte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.8% vs Motte 44.0% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
Motte 64.5%
Defensive zone
Kelly 66.9%
Neutral zone
Kelly 51.4%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Kelly
Motte
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (756)
43.6% (424)
-1.7%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
41.7% (12)
-41.7%
Penalty Kill
37.2% (172)
37.9% (66)
-0.7%
On power play, Motte has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Kelly is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (626).
Kelly shoots left. Motte is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Kelly
Motte
Home
42.5% (475)
45.2% (248)
Away
39.3% (456)
40.6% (254)
By Period
Kelly
Motte
P1
42.4%
44.6%
P2
44.7%
42.1%
P3
35.7%
41.8%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
35.8%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
40.9%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%