Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Kempe wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 40.0% vs Seguin 54.5% (-16.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 94.6%
Defensive zone
Kempe 75.1%
Neutral zone
Kempe 91.0%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Kempe
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
9
(9 meetings)
0
9
Kempe
Seguin
Last 9: Kempe 0-9 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Kempe
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
6
Kempe
Seguin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Kempe
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (607)
55.1% (1,036)
-17.0%
Power Play
42.1% (76)
56.9% (174)
-14.8%
On even strength, Seguin has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kempe is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Kempe shoots left. Seguin is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (948).
Home / Away
Kempe
Seguin
Home
39.1% (312)
58.9% (703)
Away
38.0% (371)
51.0% (737)
By Period
Kempe
Seguin
P1
39.4%
54.5%
P2
37.7%
53.7%
P3
39.0%
57.0%
OT
25.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
30.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 11:30 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 06:30 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |