Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Horvat wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Seguin 54.5% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 72.8%
Defensive zone
Seguin 51.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 56.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Horvat
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Horvat
Seguin
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Horvat
Seguin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
6
Horvat
Seguin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (994)
55.1% (1,036)
-2.0%
Power Play
57.1% (212)
56.9% (174)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
53.4% (118)
52.2% (230)
+1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Horvat is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (463).
Horvat shoots left. Seguin is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (948).
Home / Away
Horvat
Seguin
Home
53.0% (673)
58.9% (703)
Away
54.5% (651)
51.0% (737)
By Period
Horvat
Seguin
P1
51.9%
54.5%
P2
54.8%
53.7%
P3
54.3%
57.0%
OT
58.3%
45.8%
Final 5 min
50.9%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2018 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 1 | 15:52 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 00:34 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 12:13 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 18:45 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 12:05 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 06:12 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 13:19 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 2 | 09:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 1 | 00:35 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |