Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.3% vs 58.2%). Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 61.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.9% vs Seguin 57.4% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 60.5%
Defensive zone
Seguin 62.4%
Neutral zone
Seguin 54.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Horvat
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Horvat
Seguin
Last 10: Horvat 2-8 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
3
5
Horvat
Seguin
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Horvat
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Horvat
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,134)
59.6% (736)
-3.3%
Power Play
64.3% (263)
61.5% (65)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (85)
47.6% (124)
+1.8%
On even strength, Seguin has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Horvat is 61.1% vs right-shot opponents (537).
Horvat shoots left. Seguin is 59.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Horvat
Seguin
Home
57.3% (742)
60.1% (461)
Away
57.4% (741)
56.3% (464)
By Period
Horvat
Seguin
P1
59.0%
59.1%
P2
59.7%
58.9%
P3
53.6%
57.3%
OT
55.6%
46.7%
Final 5 min
59.3%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 02:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 07:53 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 05:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 08:43 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 04:38 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 00:28 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |