Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 56.0%). Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Seguin 55.4% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 67.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 68.7%
Neutral zone
Seguin 50.2%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Ryan
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Ryan
Seguin
Last 6: Ryan 1-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Ryan
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Ryan
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
56.5% (712)
+3.7%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
59.7% (67)
-31.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
44.9% (49)
-1.7%
On power play, Seguin has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Ryan is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Ryan shoots right. Seguin is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Ryan
Seguin
Home
56.7% (254)
58.5% (402)
Away
55.0% (258)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Ryan
Seguin
P1
56.9%
58.4%
P2
51.7%
54.7%
P3
59.2%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
53.6%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 3 | 10:11 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 09:37 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |