Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 48.0% vs Seguin 54.2% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 87.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 53.7%
Neutral zone
Seguin 72.7%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Dickinson
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Dickinson
Seguin
Last 6: Dickinson 5-1 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
4
0
Dickinson
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Dickinson
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (626)
55.0% (713)
-6.4%
Power Play
44.0% (25)
56.7% (104)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (120)
47.2% (53)
-3.0%
On power play, Seguin has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Dickinson is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Dickinson shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Seguin
Home
45.4% (368)
56.2% (443)
Away
49.9% (403)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Dickinson
Seguin
P1
49.2%
54.2%
P2
46.3%
52.9%
P3
48.1%
57.1%
OT
44.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 15:54 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 3 | 16:14 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |