Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 50.8% vs Seguin 53.6% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Rantanen 93.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 82.9%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 53.9%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Rantanen
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
16
(31 meetings)
15
16
Rantanen
Seguin
Last 10: Rantanen 7-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
14
0
Rantanen
Seguin
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
13
Rantanen
Seguin
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Rantanen
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,522)
53.7% (8,071)
-2.7%
Power Play
50.8% (484)
55.9% (810)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
49.3% (762)
-35.0%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Rantanen is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (785).
Rantanen shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Seguin
Home
53.0% (1,067)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
48.3% (946)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Rantanen
Seguin
P1
49.0%
52.8%
P2
51.3%
53.3%
P3
51.8%
54.7%
OT
57.8%
54.7%
Final 5 min
47.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 07:24 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 11:09 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:50 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 11:07 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 05:24 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 04:35 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 10:59 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 10:20 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |