Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 58.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 54.6% vs Seguin 53.6% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 55.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 58.1%
Neutral zone
Seguin 59.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Kadri
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kadri
Seguin
Last 6: Kadri 2-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Kadri
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
1
Kadri
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (704)
53.9% (996)
+1.5%
Power Play
50.0% (18)
56.4% (94)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
52.1% (165)
-2.1%
On power play, Seguin has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kadri is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Kadri shoots left. Seguin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Home / Away
Kadri
Seguin
Home
53.1% (367)
55.9% (633)
Away
57.3% (363)
51.8% (622)
By Period
Kadri
Seguin
P1
49.8%
55.8%
P2
53.7%
51.7%
P3
61.9%
54.5%
OT
0.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
61.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
55.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 03:04 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 06:06 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 02:39 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |