Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bergeron wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 56.8% vs Seguin 55.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 72.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 65.1%
Neutral zone
Seguin 69.5%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Bergeron
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Bergeron
Seguin
Last 10: Bergeron 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Bergeron
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Bergeron
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Bergeron
Seguin
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,376)
55.9% (789)
+1.1%
Power Play
62.8% (323)
52.1% (48)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (279)
44.4% (9)
+6.9%
On power play, Bergeron has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Bergeron is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (635).
Bergeron shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Seguin
Home
59.1% (986)
57.3% (382)
Away
55.1% (992)
54.1% (464)
By Period
Bergeron
Seguin
P1
55.5%
55.1%
P2
58.0%
57.5%
P3
57.9%
53.7%
OT
53.1%
61.1%
Final 5 min
57.1%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 17:45 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 07:33 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 14:49 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 07:29 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 07:14 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 02:36 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |