Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 44.2% vs Seguin 57.4% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 74.5%
Defensive zone
Zacha 78.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 78.0%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Zacha
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Zacha
Seguin
Last 5: Zacha 1-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Zacha
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (514)
59.6% (736)
-16.8%
Power Play
51.9% (79)
61.5% (65)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (61)
47.6% (124)
-11.5%
On even strength, Seguin has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Zacha is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Zacha shoots left. Seguin is 59.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Zacha
Seguin
Home
45.0% (289)
60.1% (461)
Away
41.9% (365)
56.3% (464)
By Period
Zacha
Seguin
P1
47.4%
59.1%
P2
43.8%
58.9%
P3
37.7%
57.3%
OT
66.7%
46.7%
Final 5 min
39.3%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
43.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |