Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.8% vs Seguin 55.4% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 65.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 71.9%
Neutral zone
Seguin 57.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Monahan
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Monahan
Seguin
Last 5: Monahan 4-1 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
1
Monahan
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
0
Monahan
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
0
Monahan
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (641)
56.5% (712)
-5.0%
Power Play
62.8% (129)
59.7% (67)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
44.9% (49)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Monahan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Monahan shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Monahan
Seguin
Home
53.9% (362)
58.5% (402)
Away
52.5% (417)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Monahan
Seguin
P1
48.0%
58.4%
P2
57.0%
54.7%
P3
54.1%
54.1%
OT
100.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:13 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 14:28 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 15:31 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |