Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 54.6% vs Jost 45.9% (+14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 83.8%
Defensive zone
Jost 69.7%
Neutral zone
Jost 77.1%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 79.8%
20.2%
79.8%
Toews
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Toews
Jost
Last 5: Toews 1-4 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Jost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
0
3
Toews
Jost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (1,153)
40.0% (65)
+14.8%
Power Play
58.8% (233)
0.0% (2)
+58.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (166)
66.7% (3)
-16.7%
On power play, Toews has a +58.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Toews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Toews shoots left. Jost is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Toews
Jost
Home
58.7% (784)
38.5% (39)
Away
51.0% (768)
41.9% (31)
By Period
Toews
Jost
P1
54.0%
46.4%
P2
57.4%
31.8%
P3
52.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
54.9%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 05:59 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 05:46 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 02:23 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |