Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jost 45.0% vs Johnston 48.5% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 53.8%
Defensive zone
Johnston 55.0%
Neutral zone
Jost 51.4%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Jost
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Jost
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Jost
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jost
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (84)
47.8% (623)
-8.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
50.8% (63)
-50.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
51.4% (35)
-1.4%
On power play, Johnston has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Jost is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Jost shoots left. Johnston is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Jost
Johnston
Home
38.5% (52)
47.6% (351)
Away
41.0% (39)
48.9% (370)
By Period
Jost
Johnston
P1
40.6%
49.6%
P2
38.9%
47.3%
P3
39.1%
48.0%
Final 5 min
37.5%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
39.6%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |