Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Jost wins 39.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jost 40.5% vs Johnston 49.1% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Jost leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnston 71.2%
Defensive zone
Johnston 70.5%
Neutral zone
Johnston 68.8%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Jost
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Jost
Johnston
Last 10: Jost 5-5 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
3
2
Jost
Johnston
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
2
Jost
Johnston
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
3
2
Jost
Johnston
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jost
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (2,014)
49.3% (2,189)
-8.3%
Power Play
34.2% (73)
52.6% (173)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (255)
44.7% (237)
-9.4%
On power play, Johnston has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Jost is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (876).
Jost shoots left. Johnston is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,967).
Home / Away
Jost
Johnston
Home
41.9% (1,238)
49.2% (1,319)
Away
38.1% (1,104)
49.0% (1,280)
By Period
Jost
Johnston
P1
38.5%
50.1%
P2
41.2%
48.3%
P3
40.9%
48.8%
OT
40.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
38.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 16:42 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 16:12 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 11:19 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 01:44 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |