Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jost wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jost 40.8% vs Johnston 44.8% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 75.1%
Defensive zone
Johnston 67.7%
Neutral zone
Johnston 70.6%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 72.0%
28.0%
72.0%
Jost
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Jost
Johnston
Last 8: Jost 5-3 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
2
1
Jost
Johnston
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Jost
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
3
1
Jost
Johnston
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jost
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (388)
42.5% (318)
-0.7%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
55.6% (9)
-55.6%
Penalty Kill
21.7% (60)
62.5% (8)
-40.8%
On power play, Johnston has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Jost is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Jost shoots left. Johnston is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Jost
Johnston
Home
42.6% (230)
40.5% (168)
Away
34.8% (221)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Jost
Johnston
P1
43.2%
46.9%
P2
38.2%
40.4%
P3
34.6%
41.9%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.6%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
38.8%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 16:12 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 11:19 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 01:44 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |