Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Trocheck 51.6% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 83.0%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 78.6%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 72.6%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 77.1%
22.9%
77.1%
Howden
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Howden
Trocheck
Last 6: Howden 5-1 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Howden
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
3
0
Howden
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (631)
50.8% (783)
-2.5%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
60.0% (95)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (58)
51.8% (83)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Howden is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Howden shoots left. Trocheck is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Howden
Trocheck
Home
52.0% (304)
54.9% (506)
Away
45.9% (425)
48.4% (455)
By Period
Howden
Trocheck
P1
48.7%
52.3%
P2
48.1%
50.8%
P3
49.0%
52.7%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.4%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 07:56 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 17:52 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 10:43 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 03:03 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 2 | 01:40 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Brett Howden |