Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.5% vs Trocheck 51.9% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 88.9%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 60.9%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 66.9%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Howden
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Howden
Trocheck
Last 9: Howden 6-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
1
Howden
Trocheck
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (417)
51.6% (697)
-4.6%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
55.1% (98)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (83)
54.1% (37)
-1.1%
On even strength, Trocheck has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Howden is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Howden shoots left. Trocheck is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Howden
Trocheck
Home
44.8% (268)
56.8% (400)
Away
51.8% (253)
47.9% (432)
By Period
Howden
Trocheck
P1
51.6%
49.1%
P2
43.7%
53.5%
P3
50.0%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.2%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 1 | 05:06 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Brett Howden |