Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.6% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 64.8%
Defensive zone
Drury 66.3%
Neutral zone
Drury 63.6%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Drury
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Drury
Trocheck
Last 5: Drury 1-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Drury
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Drury
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (590)
57.6% (1,061)
-2.9%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
65.1% (338)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (21)
49.5% (101)
+21.9%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Drury is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Drury shoots left. Trocheck is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,118).
Home / Away
Drury
Trocheck
Home
56.7% (358)
61.8% (735)
Away
53.6% (306)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Drury
Trocheck
P1
57.3%
57.7%
P2
57.6%
57.9%
P3
51.1%
60.4%
Final 5 min
53.4%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.3%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:49 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 10:07 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 14:23 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |