Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +20.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 41.1% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-20.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 87.9%
Defensive zone
Hughes 81.1%
Neutral zone
Hughes 86.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Hughes
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Hughes
Trocheck
Last 5: Hughes 0-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Hughes
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
Hughes
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Hughes
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
57.8% (626)
-21.0%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
63.6% (151)
-49.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
44.0% (141)
-10.7%
On power play, Trocheck has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Hughes is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Hughes shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Hughes
Trocheck
Home
35.1% (148)
54.4% (390)
Away
37.4% (131)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Hughes
Trocheck
P1
43.0%
56.4%
P2
28.7%
58.7%
P3
35.2%
54.8%
Final 5 min
28.6%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 19:16 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 15:33 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |