Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Trocheck wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Trocheck 53.8% vs Gourde 44.8% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 60.0%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 78.2%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 65.0%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Trocheck
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Trocheck
Gourde
Last 5: Trocheck 3-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Trocheck
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
0
Trocheck
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Trocheck
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (1,270)
40.9% (279)
+13.0%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
58.3% (60)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (143)
36.0% (25)
+10.2%
On even strength, Trocheck has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Trocheck is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,013).
Trocheck shoots right. Gourde is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Trocheck
Gourde
Home
54.3% (818)
45.5% (189)
Away
53.9% (759)
41.1% (175)
By Period
Trocheck
Gourde
P1
52.8%
42.4%
P2
56.6%
48.3%
P3
52.7%
40.3%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2018 | 2 | 13:52 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 14:08 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 6, 2017 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |