Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Trocheck wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Trocheck 55.6% vs Gourde 49.7% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 64.5%
Defensive zone
Gourde 58.4%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 51.5%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Trocheck
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Trocheck
Gourde
Last 7: Trocheck 3-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
1
Trocheck
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
3
Trocheck
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Trocheck
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (956)
49.1% (847)
+5.9%
Power Play
59.8% (266)
79.5% (44)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (64)
39.5% (81)
+16.8%
On power play, Gourde has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Trocheck is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Trocheck shoots right. Gourde is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Trocheck
Gourde
Home
57.7% (673)
50.1% (491)
Away
54.3% (613)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Trocheck
Gourde
P1
55.4%
54.7%
P2
55.6%
45.0%
P3
56.4%
49.4%
OT
83.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 01:15 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 12:11 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |